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Trump 2.0 and the Financial Markets
Political Cycles· · 4 min read ·Members

Trump 2.0 and the Financial Markets

Donald Trump's win and the Republican sweep of the House (probably) and the Senate (certainly) is consistent with our Roaring…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 11/6/24
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read ·Members

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 11/6/24

The bond market seems to be ignoring developments that usually halt rising yields in their track. Investors seem focused instead on the…

25bps Cut? We Strongly Dissent!
FOMC· · 3 min read ·Members

25bps Cut? We Strongly Dissent!

We may or may not know tonight who will be the next president, but we should know which party will win a…

Market Call: Trend Spotting
Market Call· · 3 min read

Market Call: Trend Spotting

Some of our best friends are technicians. Ed was at Prudential Equity Group at the same time as Ralph Acampora, the renowned…

The Economic Week Ahead: November 4 - 8
Week Ahead· · 3 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: November 4 - 8

The blockbuster event in the week ahead is Tuesday's presidential election. We're rooting for gridlock, or a divided…

Super Macro. Not So Super Micro.
Inflation· · 3 min read ·Members

Super Macro. Not So Super Micro.

Some of the air is coming out of the AI trade. Super Micro Computer hasn't been super recently. It fell…

Going Nowhere Fast?
GDP· · 3 min read

Going Nowhere Fast?

The S&P 500 equal-weighted index has been going nowhere fast since the Fed cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 10/30/24
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read ·Members

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 10/30/24

Goldman Sachs’ bold projection that the next 10 years may be a “lost decade” for stocks, with mere 3% annual returns, is…

Help Still Wanted
Labor Market· · 2 min read ·Members

Help Still Wanted

We don't expect to be disappointed by October's payroll employment report on Friday. Both September's JOLTS…

Modern Monetary Magic At Work
Fiscal Policy· · 3 min read

Modern Monetary Magic At Work

Republican Everett Dirksen was the Senate Minority Leader during the 1960s. Cautioning that federal spending had a way of getting out of…