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Why Is the Bond Yield Soaring?
Bonds· · 2 min read ·Members

Why Is the Bond Yield Soaring?

The latest batch of economic indicators was weaker than expected. On Friday, we learned that real personal consumption expenditures rose just 0.…

Market Call: The Wild Bunch
Market Call· · 3 min read

Market Call: The Wild Bunch

Just after the S&P 500 nearly hit our year-end target of 4600 ahead of schedule on July 31, we concluded…

The Economic Week Ahead: October 2 - 6
Employment· · 2 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: October 2 - 6

The first week of the month is usually jampacked with employment indicator releases. On balance, we expect they will show that the…

DEEP DIVE: Everyone's Making Semiconductors
Deep Dive· · 4 min read ·Members

DEEP DIVE: Everyone's Making Semiconductors

Large tech companies have been jumping into the semiconductor industry. Amazon, Google, Tesla, and others have developed semiconductors for use in their…

Saudis Have A Vision
Crude Oil· · 3 min read ·Members

Saudis Have A Vision

Saudi Vision 2030 is the vision of Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman (MBS). He wants to diversify the…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 9/27/23
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 9/27/23

The Fed has paused its rate hiking for now but not without warning that resumed tightening is possible. Either way, monetary policy…

Talking Heads Talk Stocks Down
Fed· · 2 min read ·Members

Talking Heads Talk Stocks Down

We were surprised that stock prices didn't drop yesterday along with bond prices. So we aren't surprised to…

Strikes and Shutdowns and Bond Yields, Oh My!
S&P 500· · 2 min read ·Members

Strikes and Shutdowns and Bond Yields, Oh My!

The stock market held up surprisingly well today under the circumstances: The UAW strike is shutting down more auto production. The federal…

Market Call: Powell Says Be Careful
Market Call· · 2 min read ·Members

Market Call: Powell Says Be Careful

In his presser last Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned "careful" and "carefully" 16 times mostly to describe…

The Economic Week Ahead: September 25-29
Week Ahead· · 2 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: September 25-29

This is a relatively slow week for economic data. That means that the markets will be mostly entertained by the talking heads…

Good News Is Bad News, For Now
Economy· · 2 min read ·Members

Good News Is Bad News, For Now

The Fed's hawkish pause has unsettled the bond and stock markets. During 2022 and early 2023, the widespread fear was…