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Strong Labor Market Frustrates Fed
Employment· · 2 min read ·Members

Strong Labor Market Frustrates Fed

On August 27, 2020, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole explained why on that same day the Fed…

A Bowl of Mixed Nuts
US Economy· · 2 min read ·Members

A Bowl of Mixed Nuts

Today's batch of economic indicators was mixed, showing that the manufacturing economy remains weak, while the labor market remains strong.…

The Bears' Favorite Chart
S&P 500· · 2 min read

The Bears' Favorite Chart

One of the bears’ favorite charts shows the relationship between the S&P 500 and the size of the Fed’s…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/3/23
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/3/23

With last year thankfully behind us, we take stock of what could go both wrong and right for the economy in 2023.…

Running Out of Money?
Money· · 2 min read ·Members

Running Out of Money?

Monetarists seem to be making a comeback, and they are sounding the alarm that the recent weakness in the M2 measure of…

MegaCap-8 Stocks Had a Very Bad 2022
S&P 500· · 2 min read

MegaCap-8 Stocks Had a Very Bad 2022

Sometimes it is better to own a small boat than a very large yacht. The former is cheaper to operate and easier…

The Economic Week Ahead,  January 3-6
Economic Calendar· · 2 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead, January 3-6

The first week of 2023 will be action packed, especially with so many labor market indicators coming out. If they are too…

Happy CPI Inflation Surprise Coming Jan. 12?
Inflation· · 2 min read ·Members

Happy CPI Inflation Surprise Coming Jan. 12?

The stock market could start to discount the possibility of a lower-than-expected December CPI report, which will be released on January 12.…

Bonds Weigh On Stocks
Bonds· · 1 min read ·Members

Bonds Weigh On Stocks

The 10-year US Treasury bond yield rose from a recent low of 3.425% on December 7 to 3.849% today, the…

The No-Landing Scenario
GDPNow· · 2 min read ·Members

The No-Landing Scenario

While we are all debating whether a soft or hard landing is coming in 2023, the economy continued to fly higher during H2-2022.