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DEEP DIVE: Anatomy Of A Rolling Recession
Deep Dive· · 5 min read ·Members

DEEP DIVE: Anatomy Of A Rolling Recession

This is an excerpt from our Aug 30 Morning Briefing.Deep Dives (for paid members of QuickTakes) are occasional excerpts from our…

Lots Of Jobs, But...
Employment· · 1 min read

Lots Of Jobs, But...

This morning's jobs report for August was a good one even though the unemployment rate rose to 3.7% from…

August's M-PMI: More Stag & Less Flation
Economic Survey· · 1 min read ·Members

August's M-PMI: More Stag & Less Flation

August's M-PMI provides confirmation of our economic outlook including a growth recession and moderating inflationary pressures. On balance, it should…

Europeans Are In A Foul Mood
Europe· · 1 min read

Europeans Are In A Foul Mood

The Eurozone's Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) slipped further below 100.0 to 97.6 during August (chart below). This indicates…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 8/29/22
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 8/29/22

Keeping track of whether Fed Chair Powell is dovish or hawkish is making us dizzy. His latest clues—dropped at last week’…

S&P 500 Revenues & Earnings At Record Highs
SPX Earnings· · 1 min read

S&P 500 Revenues & Earnings At Record Highs

Our weekly forward metrics for S&P 500 revenues, earnings, and the profit margin continue to accurately track their quarterly counterparts…

The Economic Week Ahead (Aug. 29-Sept. 2)
Week Ahead· · 1 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead (Aug. 29-Sept. 2)

Time marches on! September is almost here. The week ahead is packed with employment data starting with July's JOLTS (Tues.…

Powell's Fugetaboutit Speech
Fed· · 1 min read

Powell's Fugetaboutit Speech

Fed Chair Jerome Powell did pivot on Friday morning at Jackson Hole in his 8-minute speech on the outlook for monetary policy.…

Powell's Speech: Short & Hawkish
Fed· · 2 min read ·Members

Powell's Speech: Short & Hawkish

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech today at the Fed's Jackson Hole conference was short and hawkish. He reiterated…

The Calm Before The Storm?
Stock Market· · 1 min read

The Calm Before The Storm?

They say that the stock market tends to climb a wall of worry. It has been doing just that since the S&…