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Market Call: Sweep Stakes
Market Call· · 3 min read ·Members

Market Call: Sweep Stakes

We still think that gridlock would be the most bullish outcome of the November 5 presidential and congressional elections, making it difficult…

The Economic Week Ahead: October 28 - Nov 1
Week Ahead· · 3 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: October 28 - Nov 1

The week ahead is jampacked with key indicators for the labor market, economic growth, and inflation, as well as more Q3 S&…

DEEP DIVE: The Case for a Higher R-Star
Deep Dive· · 3 min read ·Members

DEEP DIVE: The Case for a Higher R-Star

Fed officials indicated that the September 18 rate cut was likely to be followed by more cuts. They deemed that 5.25%…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 10/25/24
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 10/25/24

The US presidential and congressional elections aren't until November 5, but the Bond Vigilantes are voting early. The 10-year US…

Risk & Reward In Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets· · 3 min read ·Members

Risk & Reward In Emerging Markets

The three-day BRICS summit of emerging market economies (EMEs) in Kazan, Russia concluded today. The group launched by Brazil, Russia, India, and…

Bond Vigilantes Started Voting Early
Bond Vigilantes· · 3 min read

Bond Vigilantes Started Voting Early

The US presidential and congressional elections aren't until November 5, but the Bond Vigilantes are voting early. The 10-year US…

The Front Cover Curse
US Economy· · 1 min read

The Front Cover Curse

We've been recommending overweighting the US in global equity portfolios since 2010. We still are, and it is still working…

Sell Bonds, Buy Gold?
Commodities· · 3 min read

Sell Bonds, Buy Gold?

Yes, that has been our advice since mid-August. Our August 19, 2024 Morning Briefing was titled, "Get Ready To Short Bonds?…

The Economic Week Ahead: October 21-25
Week Ahead· · 3 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: October 21-25

The economic week ahead will provide updates on the overall economy, manufacturing, and housing. Last week's jobless claims (Thu) will…

DEEP DIVE: Why Aren't Consumers Happier?
Deep Dive· · 6 min read

DEEP DIVE: Why Aren't Consumers Happier?

The Misery Index is the sum of the unemployment rate and the inflation rate (measured as the yearly percent change in the…