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Market Call:  The Winds Of War
Market Call· · 2 min read ·Members

Market Call: The Winds Of War

The S&P 500 is down 2.5% from its record high of 5254.35 on March 29 (chart). Its 1.…

The Economic Week Ahead: April 15 - 19
Consumer· · 2 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: April 15 - 19

Following Iran's attack on Israel Saturday, geopolitics should dominate this week's market action. The Q1 earnings reporting season…

The Spreading War In The Middle East
Middle East· · 3 min read

The Spreading War In The Middle East

Ever since Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, we've warned that the latest war in the Middle East between…

PPI Not As Hot As CPI
Inflation· · 2 min read ·Members

PPI Not As Hot As CPI

Today's PPI report threw some cold water on yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI. Our opinion is that the Fed won&…

The Last Mile
Inflation· · 3 min read ·Members

The Last Mile

Will the Fed start raising the federal funds rate again? We expect to be hearing this question more often following today'…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 4/11/24
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read ·Members

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 4/11/24

There was no recession last year, but the widespread expectation of one depressed certain economic activities, like hiring. With that depressant now…

Live Long And Prosper!
Consumer· · 2 min read

Live Long And Prosper!

American consumers are doing what they do best: They are consuming goods and services. Their consumption of services has been especially strong.…

Market Call: $100 Oil, $3000 Gold?
Crude Oil· · 3 min read ·Members

Market Call: $100 Oil, $3000 Gold?

Will the current decade turn out to be like the 1920s, 1970s, or 1990s? We are still assigning subjective probabilities of 60%…

Max On The Market
Max· · 1 min read

Max On The Market

Max is getting ready for the eclipse on Monday. He regularly appears in Dr Ed's weekly webcasts on Mondays for…

The Economic Week Ahead: April 8 - 12
Week Ahead· · 2 min read

The Economic Week Ahead: April 8 - 12

This week will feature some key inflation numbers. The March headline CPI (Wed) and PPI (Mar) will get a boost from higher…

DEEP DIVE: The Amazing Flying Machine
Deep Dive· · 6 min read ·Members

DEEP DIVE: The Amazing Flying Machine

GDP I: Still Flying. Not Landing. It’s official: There was no recession in 2022 or 2023. There was no hard landing…