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S&P 500: Smooth Sailing to Another 2023 High
Employment· · 2 min read ·Members

S&P 500: Smooth Sailing to Another 2023 High

Hooray! The US government won't default on its debts. There are plenty of jobs. Unit-labor-cost inflation is moderating. The banking…

Sitting Bull
S&P 500· · 2 min read ·Members

Sitting Bull

The bull market seems to be taking a rest. The S&P 500 has stalled just below 4200 since the start…

Two Known Knowns About the Economy
Unemployment· · 2 min read ·Members

Two Known Knowns About the Economy

Investors are confused: Is the economy strong or is it weak? The answer is "Yes." The labor market is strong,…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 5/31/23
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read ·Members

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 5/31/23

Why is economic growth seemingly defying gravity, or at least the gravitational pull of the Fed’s tightening measures over the past…

The Economic Week Ahead: May 30-June 2
Week Ahead· · 2 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: May 30-June 2

Now that a debt deal is on the verge of becoming a done deal, the markets can focus on economic growth and…

The Economy Is Still Gliding Along
GDP· · 2 min read ·Members

The Economy Is Still Gliding Along

Apparently, the debt ceiling issue has been resolved over the weekend, as we expected. The stock market might rally on Tuesday, but…

Expecting a Debt Deal
Washington· · 3 min read ·Members

Expecting a Debt Deal

Our good friend Jim Lucier of Capital Alpha is one of the best Washington watchers we know. He has given us permission…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 5/24/23
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 5/24/23

The Fed sought to allay fears of bank runs when it provided backstop funds to banks. Consider the fears allayed—so far,…

Raising Odds of Soft Landing
Recession· · 1 min read ·Members

Raising Odds of Soft Landing

Beware: Bullish sentiment is improving, which is bearish from a contrarian perspective. On Tuesday,  Rick Rieder, who is BlackRock’s chief bond…