Paid For the Bulls, The Suspense Is Hard to Bear Aug 15, 2023 2 min read members The Bond Vigilantes kept the suspense going today. They closed the 10-year Treasury bond yield at 4.22% (chart). It's widely feared that if it rises above 4.25% (i.e., last year's high), the next stop could be 4.50% and even 5.00% if the yield curve disinverts with the long end rising up to meet the short end. The stock market has been Ed Yardeni
Paid Q2 Earnings Reporting Season Starts With the Big Banks Jul 11, 2023 2 min read paid The Q2 earnings season starts off this week with the major banks reporting their results. Based on weekly data provided by the Fed, we know that loans and leases at the large domestic banks rose modestly by 3.0% y/y through the end of June (chart). There's no sign of a credit crunch so far following March's banking crisis, which was quickly contained by the Ed Yardeni
Paid Bull Market or Rally in a Bear Market? May 18, 2023 2 min read paid Our short answer to the question posed in the title: "Bull market." The S&P 500 rose to a new high today of 4198.05 for 2023 taking out the February 2 closing high of 4179.76 (chart). The market has climbed a Wall of Worry thanks to Wall Street's Worriers, who've predicted that the banking and the debt ceiling crises could make Ed Yardeni