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Recession With Chinese Characteristics
China· · 2 min read ·Members

Recession With Chinese Characteristics

China’s May economic indicators were broadly negative, as evidenced by the recent weakness in Chinese stock prices as well as the…

The Economic Week Ahead: June 17-21
Week Ahead· · 3 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: June 17-21

The economic week ahead will include lots of economic indicators, which on balance should show that the pace of economic activity improved…

DEEP DIVE: Inflation - Why the Long Face?
Deep Dive· · 3 min read ·Members

DEEP DIVE: Inflation - Why the Long Face?

Among the hottest topics at dinner tables and at corporate boardrooms tables across the country—not to mention election campaign offices—is…

Low Inflation Readings Stampede the Bulls
Labor Market· · 2 min read ·Members

Low Inflation Readings Stampede the Bulls

On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) warned markets to expect no more than one interest rate cut over the rest…

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 6/12/24
Video Webcasts· · 1 min read ·Members

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 6/12/24

How the labor market is doing is critical to the Fed’s setting of monetary policy given its dual mandate to steer…

Game Over For Birth/Death Adjustment?
Labor Market· · 2 min read ·Members

Game Over For Birth/Death Adjustment?

Some economists claim that recent nonfarm payroll gains are misleadingly strong and are masking the underlying weakness in the labor market. These…

Bonds, Oil, Copper, Gold & The Dollar
Commodities· · 3 min read

Bonds, Oil, Copper, Gold & The Dollar

On a regular basis, we like to check on the correlations among the fixed income, commodity, and foreign currency markets. Here are…

Market Call: Blue Angels Flying High
Stock Market· · 2 min read ·Members

Market Call: Blue Angels Flying High

Our Blue Angels framework shows that the S&P 500 was back in record high territory last week as S&…

The Economic Week Ahead: June 10-14
Week Ahead· · 3 min read ·Members

The Economic Week Ahead: June 10-14

The economic week ahead will be dominated by the FOMC’s latest meeting (Wed) and May’s CPI report. The FOMC is…